That doomed pearling fleet would have moved north or south with ease. Val; stop peddlig other people’s muses and do your own observations. So, when Yasi started heading our way, there was indeed plenty of warning, plenty of procedures in place, and a concentrated effort on all fronts to ‘inform’ the public of the situation, if you can see what I’m getting at here. I understand it really has not much in the way of correlation to the Posts here, but it indicates in some way the relative size of the eye. The Bureau of Meteorology says Cyclone Yasi will be a severe category three or four cyclone when it crosses the Queensland coast, likely early on Thursday morning. Cyclone Debbie is expected to have more severe winds than Cyclone Yasi did in 2011, with the category 4 storm claiming its first life on Monday. Or was it a “normal” event with “normal” consequences? from: www.bom.gov.au. Get yourself some radar imagery or just a satellite shot will do. The strongest wind gust I have seen in DATA is the 180 at Lucinda. http://www.bom.gov.au/announcements/sevwx/tc_ingrid/faraway_bay_image.shtml, At 11pm EA time the Cairns 512km composite radar loop gives a good impression of the cyclone “hot” spots including Cairns and imho Mackay also a wild one, http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR191.loop.shtml#skip, The Strikeone site keeps up to a couple of hrs of BoM radar data… here’s the Cairns and Townsville radars: Anyway – you’ll get Abbott in soon – and you won’t be getting anything built after he reduces all expenditure to zero. It can always be justified etc. If you are aware that you live in an area prone to flood, cyclone, bushfire, earthquake, whatever and if you are smart you have a plan of survival. 1918 – CYCLONE INNISFAIL (Category 5) I don’t know. 1978 – CYCLONE ALBY (Category 4) Tropical Cyclone Yasi commenced its lifecycle as a tropical depression north of Fiji on Friday 28 January and steadily intensified to cyclone strength northeast of Vanuatu by Sunday night. When the cyclone hit Mackay on 21 January, it destroyed all communication links into the town. “Clump Point just made it inside the NW side of the eyewall and is at the north end of the Mission Beach area.”. We don’t know exactly how strong the wind was at Willis because it was totalled well before maximum speeds were experienced,so I’ll go with the Cat 5 estimates,thank you. The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre had Yasi at 930hPa about 80km out from landfall,with sustained winds at 135 knots/250km/h,and gusts to 165 knots/305km/h. Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi began developing as a tropical low northwest of Fiji on 29 January 2011 and started tracking on a general westward track. With the Bathurst Bay fleet, their very lives depended on their movements and they also were most likely not insured so those very resourceful sailors who even then had the EWS of the aneroid barometer and knew what was coming, were still unable to avoid that catastrophe. The system quickly intensified to a cyclone category to the north of Vanuatu and was named Yasi at 10:00pm on 30 January by Fiji Meteorological Service. The largest diameter reliably observed on the Qld coast,I believe. This proved that the zone of windspeeds averaging 60 knots-near hurricane force- was AT LEAST 150km wide. ..Yes Keith – I am asking if Yasi was overhyped to some extent yesterday by all our official sources, BoM, Govt and media. Not bad for a system moving very fast by comparison with most cyclones. The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) warned that Cyclone Yasi posed and "extremely serious threat to life and property within the warning area, especially between Cairns and Townsville. The automated Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) weather station on Willis Island provided amazing data this morning as Cyclone Yasi swept past. surface 3 second wind gusts > 279 km/h. Do you think anyone believes it was the ultimate storm? The only automated recorder that the cyclone passed over was destroyed an hour before the eye arrived,leaving its trace frozen in a moment indicating rapid increase in wind speed and the beginning of a precipitous drop in pressure. Do you know why they are called gum boots? Cyclone Justin, 1997 . What this has resulted in, in a way, is to make Yasi ‘seem’ to be nowhere near as devastating as what it could have been, had it arrived in 1899, 1918, or even in the 70’s. http://radar.strikeone.net.au/?fuseaction=loops.main&radar=192&numberofImages=10&dateStart=0&dateFinish=0, http://radar.strikeone.net.au/?fuseaction=loops.main&radar=212&numberofImages=10&dateStart=0&dateFinish=0, All the latest videos of Yasi can be found on the following hub: Pleasure craft for part time sailors in a marina are not the priority that commercial vessels are. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/features/queenslands-cycles-of-havoc/story-e6frg6z6-1225998344719. A Cyclone Warning is issued by BoM when gales or stronger winds are expected to hit within 24 hours. We infer that the deposits were formed by storms with recurrence intervals of two to three centuries8, 9, 10, 11, and we show that the cyclones responsible must have been of extreme intensity (central pressures less than 920 hPa). Joan was a severe tropical cyclone with maximum measured wind gusts of 208 km/h. I don’t think that any reasonable person can conclude that Yasi was worse, or even as bad as Mahina. What the longer term records show, however, is that the frequency of extreme cyclones follow a predictable long-scale pattern. Yasi intensified to a category five cyclone overnight and its impact is ''likely to be more life-threatening than any experienced during recent generations'', the Bureau of Meteorology says. Please provide your evidence for your beliefs. You can almost hear the sigh of relief when they report that at least someone had the good grace to die. The Lucinda gauge was NOT recording eye wall speeds. The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) in Brisbane said that at 5am AEDT Yasi was about 650 kilometres east-northeast of Cairns and 650 kilometres northeast of Townsville moving west southwest at 30km/h. Maybe that $20 million that the mining industry easily spent on swatting the super tax would have helped…, “Back before the days of ABC bedwetting even they agreed with you:”. The total damage cost was estimated to be in excess of $20 million. The highest combined storm surge and wave action ever to hit Australia was during the Mahina cyclone which struck Bathurst Bay, Australia on March 1899 and claimed over 400 lives. Severe Tropical Cyclone Bobby moved slowly and erratically along the Pallara coast (middle of WA’s coast, near Exmouth), crossing it just to the east of Onslow on 25 February 1995. Therefore, a defensible estimate for windspeed in the Cardwell-Mission Beach area would be in the range 220-240kph. His conclusion We also don’t know how many if any chose to sail the 200km to Cairns or Bowen. Way short of this 295 bandied around – which I assume was always from modeling. No lives were lost and no serious injuries were reported. Gaia has a brutal way of putting man back in his “box”. We look back at some of the worse contenders since 1899: 1899 – CYCLONE MAHINA (Category 5) It was among the most powerful recorded cyclones to have hit the Queensland coast. the little protusion to its south is Clump Point,and Dunk island can be seen partly hidden by the black numerals at the bottom of the frame. Yep,I’ve noticed some rusted-on BOM haters attempting their usual schtick. A BoM shelter is always a good idea. not what the true believers would have us believe. 1995 – CYCLONE BOBBY (Category 4) For instance, when you live on a boat, you don’t hang around harbours, you get some sea room. It crossed the coast on April 23 at Cape Preston, 70 km west of Karratha. “lmwd, There is no such thing as a “super-cyclone” and anyone who uses the term can be safely ignored by sensible people who are genuinely interested in the earth’s climate”. Daydream, South Molle and Hayman islands were affected. 1997 – CYCLONE JUSTIN (Category 3) 1986 – CYCLONE WINIFRED (Category 3) Video footage of Cyclone Ingrid as it was crossing Cape Don, the westernmost tip of the Cobourg Peninsula, northeast of Darwin–on the morning of 13 March, 2005. http://met.psu.edu/~evans/2005-TC-Ingrid/Ingrid_Cape_Don_long.wmv, It made a grand tour of 3 states http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_Tropical_Cyclone_Ingrid, Faraway Bay on the Kimberley Coast resort after Ingrid But La Nina has in the past brought devastating storms, including in 2010-12 when Cyclone Yasi thrashed far north Queensland and caused millions of dollars in damage. worst ever in our history! The intense central zone of the cyclone slipped between the closest two other reef observation stations-themselves 150km apart- that stayed intact. John; Warwick Hughes would agree with you; he has an interesting post on his blog; http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=809#comments The distance from Lucinda to Tully is about the width of the eye. Cyclone Yasi was a very large (~700 km wide) Category 5 cyclone that impacted the central-northern region of Queensland and large areas of the Great Barrier Reef shelf in early February 2011. Of a population of 43,000, more than 25,000 were left homeless, according to the Australian government. Jonathan Nott is an expert on the incidence of super cyclones. Then we had the air mass. Two issues prevail, poor sampling to begin with and no subsequent instrument calibration checks. (that’s if the link even shows up at all), http://papundits.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/tropical-cyclone-yasi-05-0005-03feb2011.jpg. 2006 – CYCLONE LARRY (Category 4) On Magnetic Island 90 per cent of the houses were damaged or destroyed. It intensified into a Category 5 as it impacted on the Northern Territory coastline before weakening and building back up to category four as it crossed WA’s Kimberley coast. Emergency services were certainly pretty well organised so no doubt that also resulted in less fatalities. S,Drongo claims: “If you’d been at Lucinda at 1AM you’d probably been looking at a starry sky”. congrats on getting published. On the 10 March 1918, when Innisfail, Qld, was hit by a cyclone, it was a town of 3,500 people. Australian Government Geoscience, 2013, Hazards– What is a Cyclone? Cyclone Yasi crossed the Queensland coast at Mission Beach and Tully, south of Cairns. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/ www.mapsofworld.com/lat_long/fiji-lat-long.html 252589‑cyclone‑yasi‑map.jpg 820561‑cyclone‑yasi‑map‑2pm‑february‑2. All rights reserved. val majkus put me onto checking the wind speeds as measured at the weather centres. At a guess no one measured the vertical differentials even close to SL. How exactly do you think “enormous rewards” were reaped. The storm which started in the Coral Sea, destroyed hundreds of homes in the northern Queensland towns of Tully, Mission Beach, Innisfail and Cardwell. Earlier in Justin’s lifecycle, 30 people were killed in Papua New Guinea and five people died when their yacht was destroyed. ===== HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE AT 1913UTC 31 JANUARY 2011 HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION At 1800 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi … 1989 – CYCLONE ORSON (Category 4) And be grateful that a major population centre didn’t get hit. It was an awful storm but I think you’ll find that the max windstrength on landfall was around 200-250 kph, not 300 kph which would have made it a lot worse. They would have had a “blue hole” overhead for a while and that would have been the worst of it. Yasi was at 930hPa at landfall,the lowest recorded of the modern era. Recent severe weather is a sign of what is to come this summer, the Bureau of Meteorology says, with the predicted La Niña event to reach a "similar strength" to the system that brought Cyclone Yasi and major flooding to Queensland nearly a decade ago. By analysing ridges of broken coral pushed ashore by storm surges, he has catalogued the incidence of super-cyclones over the past 5000 years. I know some journos have tried to make the connection with AGW (just read Bolt’s piece). … BOM: Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 10 #TCYasi February 1, 2011 at 8:04 AM Public At 1:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 4 was estimated to be 740 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 750 kilometres northeast of Townsville … So frustrating when you don’t get to reply! So all the armchair pundits and know all Dad’s army climate sceptics would be saying “what a bloody waste money”. This was not just blind luck that made it seem less of a problem. in a swathe several hundred kilometres wide? TC Yasi on 1st February 2011. The impact of the cyclone As a result of the system's impacts, the name Yasi was subsequently retired from the list of South Pacific tropical cyclone names and replaced with Yvone. Large sea swells outside of Australia’s warning area caused a boat to capsize near Kerema in Papua New Guinea, resulting in the loss of five lives. But you’ll have more money for your seaside cottage till it blows away. You mean with the ease those boats moved out of Hinchinbrook resort? The closest the eye wall got to Lucinda was 55-60km. Grow up. Val,what is Ken trying to say? Yasi ranks as one of the most powerful cyclones to have crossed the coast of Queensland since 1918 (BOM, 2011). Tropical Cyclone Yasi was a tropical cyclone that caused a lot of damage when it reached the Australian coast at about midnight on Wednesday 2 February 2011. It seems that in the mad rush to get the most dramatic footage, they will go, and also do, what the general public were advised not to do. Tropical Cyclone Yasi was a tropical cyclone that caused a lot of damage when it reached the Australian coast at about midnight on Wednesday 2 February 2011. Our ability to accurately make these assessments has been limited by the short (less than 100 years) instrumented record of cyclone intensity. Contrary to Ken’s statement,Larry was not as strong as Yasi,and it was moving at about the same speed in its last half day until landfall. MEGA CYCLONE YASI: Forecast Track Map (BOM) Map legend. I took a reef dive cruise from there Xmas eve 2009. Several Indonesian fishing vessels were reportedly sunk by the cyclone in the vicinity of Ashmore Island, with at least four lives lost. The good news seems to be that no one got hurt this time. Why would you expect its highest measurement to be similar to the actual intensity at the eye? I have just seen the barometric trace from the Clump Point tide gauge,operated by DERM, Both parties have failed to press for at least a few more well-rated cyclone shelters,despite the best of intentions immediately after Larry. The eye with wind speeds over 280 km/hr (Category 5) passed over Mission beach which is 110 km south of Cairns, 165 km NNW of Townsville and 130 km north of the wyloyard. I avoid reading some of the other publications for this reason. But the system is not expected to be as bad as that which brought Cyclone Yasi and the devastating south-east floods in 2011. They have people on the ground right now, providing video feeds and feedback from most affected areas. I think you got it right with the latex gum. Maybe we were just lucky it didn’t hit very populated areas and that most of the newer buildings are built to withstand cat 4-5. The lessons we learned from those earlier Cyclones aided here in making this one less of a drama than those earlier ones. I’m sure when a Aussie cyclone comes along that is worse than this,we’ll see it compared with Yasi,SD. The eye on the ground can be three times the dia of the eye in the sky which gives you a view of the eye over a big area. Tropical Cyclone Yasi. As for the damage, we are not finished assessing it yet. Subsequent flooding damaged roads and sections of the iron ore railways, particularly that of Hamersley Iron Pty Ltd. Sheep losses were heavy but there was no loss of human life or serious injury. You all be careful out there. All the politics and meeja crap in the world won’t substitute for a plan of action. And all the other alarmists? It’s from the BOM weather site, and is a still from the 4 image loop as the Cyclone passed across the Coastline at exactly Midnight. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) says there is a 94 per cent chance of La Nina conditions in 2020-21, bringing the risk of a worse-than-average cyclone season. The system quickly intensified to a cyclone category to the north of Vanuatu and was named Yasi at 10pm on the 30th by Fiji Meteorological Service. I should have mentioned the most important news of course, so far there has been no reports of deaths from this disaster according to Anna Bligh., Warwick thanks for that; I picked up this article in The Oz yesterday from Jo Nova’s site Wonder how the big sugar shed stood up to it? It looks like Lucinda’s ability to measure rain was compromised as well…or it was blowing horizontally and the Venturi effect sucked the precip out. On 2 February, it was upgraded to a Category 5 system and made landfall near Mission Beach (138 kilometres south of Cairns) between midnight and 1:00am (AEST) early on Thursday 3 February. The issue is more just exactly how bad the cyclone turned out to be. Over the weekend, . Cyclone Debbie is expected to have more severe winds than Cyclone Yasi did in 2011, with the category 4 storm claiming its first life on Monday. Witness those inland towns virtually getting no wind and little rain when they were told to batten down for the big inland cyclone. Severe tropical cyclone Yasi made landfall early on the morning of February 3, 2011 near Mission Beach on the Queensland north coast. Rather fortunately, our townhouse in Redlynch (a town about 20 km north west of Cairns proper) was perfectly situated so … Observations made by the BoM in recent months has shown that a 0.8C drop in water temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean has affected sea winds between ... including Tropical Cyclone Yasi… At the very least such instrument failure as we had with Willis Is should indicate that extreme conditions were en-counted around the approaching eye of the cyclone. Also, if you’d been in Lucinda at 1 am you’d probably have been looking at a starry sky. ,which experienced a 3m tidal surge. Season 2010-2011 Tropical Cyclone YASI Track Map: Season 2010-2011 Summaries (Operational Data): - Previous TC | 2010-2011 Season | Next TC->> Lat/long Grid: Show Hide Date Labels: Show Hide. BoM severe weather meteorologist Kevin Parkyn said the remnants of ex-tropical cyclone Anthony moved over northern Victorian and southern NSW yesterday. That expert assessment is not credible? This meant that most of the food and shelter needed for the wildlife has been destroyed. And the Ross Garnauts? The eye was about 35km wide and did not pass over Lucinda,not by a long shot. POSITION POOR. Cyclone Yasi. “the event was well monitored nationally and internationally by meteorological organisations”. Step back Step forward. Cardwell – 200 homes destroyed, Mission Beach and Tully lost 20 homes each. Is he trying to tell the experts how to suck eggs? Is there any sense in this, or is it just wishful thinking? Hate to tell ya Luke but those of the nanny-state persuasion expect the taxpayer to provide all the solutions to their well being. Just remember that eye-walls are mostly not vertical. Is Ken’s conclusion worthy of special notice because he has looked at all the evidence,and he has the skill set in cyclone study? Seems it weakened a bit before it came ashore, and immediate damage was not as bad as feared. They may be well below true speeds. The combined effects of heavy rain, large seas and gale- to storm-force winds caused widespread damage in the region between Cairns and Townsville and the loss of two lives. The eye with wind speeds over 280 km/hr (Category 5) passed over Mission beach which is 110 km south of Cairns, 165 km NNW of Townsville and 130 km north of the wyloyard. The estimated damage to private property and public facilities is believed to have exceeded $25 million. 1918 – CYCLONE MACKAY (Category 4) Given some of the contention around wind speeds, I am wondering what Prof Nott would make of this storm and whether it does rate as up there, with the techniques he uses to look a prehistoric storms? Thanks Tony. Lua is the strongest cyclone to strike Australia this year and the strongest since Cyclone YASI hit Queensland last year, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology said. The sea-surge was not great as compared with cat 5 cyclones and it would be doing people a favour letting them know that cyclones come worse than this. But the system is not expected to be as bad as that which brought Cyclone Yasi and the devastating south-east floods in 2011. After Cyclone Larry in 2006 it is thought that about one third of the cassowaries at Mission Beach died from starvation. QUEENSLAND Premier Anna Bligh has finally described Mega Cyclone YASI as a “frightening and catastrophic” cyclone telling a quarter of a million residents in the projected path of the storm they only have three hours left to run for their lives. 2011 – CYCLONE YASI (Category 5) Cyclone Yasi began developing northwest of Fiji on the 29th of January, 2011 and started to move westwards. The ensemble of estimates using the Advanced Dvorak Technique put out 127 to 140knots for maximum sustained winds. It crossed the far north Queensland coast near Lockhart River as a Category 4. More than 400 people perished after Cyclone Mahina hit Bathurst Bay on 4 March 1899. Over the weekend, . A decision to run would be pointless: in which direction and how much time have we got? Yasi [2], Cyclone Yasi did not cause the damage that government expected as it missed major cities. As the drum is asking, is it down to AGW? http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/. At landfall the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) reported Yasi as a category 5 storm on the Australian Cyclone Scale, i.e. And so she should be as she carries the responsibility for the state. I believe the Bathurst Bay fleet sought shelter but had little idea of the storms intensity to come or which way it was exactly heading.They’d have no means of detecting the eye until it happened to pass over them. Fortunately, TC Yasi did not cause a direct loss of life; one death was indirectly attri-buted to TC Yasi from carbon monoxide poison-ing due to operating a generator inside the home (ABC News, 2011). She crossed the coast south of Innisfail on 1 February, leading to three deaths – one during the storm, one as a result of associated flooding and a third from severe injuries sustained during the event. you have to log in to see the paper in total. Clump Point just made it inside the NW side of the eyewall and is at the north end of the Mission Beach area. Willis Is recorded 100 knots and 955 hpa about 10 miles from the eye and the following drop and rise of BP transmission was the lowest recording. 1971 – CYCLONE ALTHEA (Category 4) Cyclone Tracy’s eye,with central pressure of a ‘mere’ 950hPa, passed over Darwin Airport and wind gusts were recorded to 217km/hr before the anemometer broke.Its radius of gale force [34-40knot] winds was only 50km. I think Luke has raised the troublesome side of the story for the government-and the opposition. Approximately 13% of the reef were exposed to Cyclone Yasi, from Cairns to Townsville (ABC, 2011).Marine specialists from the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority (GBRMPA) initial damage assessments found that Cyclone Yasi had left varying levels of destruction to 300km of 2400km-long reef (ABC, 2011). There were also possibly 100 aboriginals killed. by Ken Stewart The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) says there is a 94 per cent chance of La Nina conditions in 2020-21, bringing the risk of a worse-than-average cyclone season. It shows the eye coming ashore at Bingil Bay, and Mission beach is on Bingil Bay. 2006 – Cyclone Larry crossed the north Queensland coast near Innisfail as a Category 4 system on March 20, 2006. 1972 – CYCLONE EMILY (Category 2) The cyclone is considered to be the worst natural disaster in Australia’s history. Contrary to many alarming reports, it was not the deepest cyclone (10m, 1899 or Mission Beach 3.6m 1918) nor the the most rain (907mm in 24 hours at Crohamhurst, 1893) nor the deadliest (307 known fatalities, Bathurst Bay, 1899). It was among the most powerful recorded cyclones to have hit the Queensland coast. It is the worst cyclone to hit Australia since 1918, with 290 km/h winds. http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v413/n6855/abs/413508a0.html These features occur along 1,500 km of the Great Barrier Reef and also the Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia. Cyclone Yasi passed over the Great Barrier Reef, causing serous damage to some parts. [3] It did however destroy 30% of the houses in Tully. Widespread falls of 50-200mm in two days? This is the highest level on the Seffir-Simpson Scale and Category 5 is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 155 mph (69 m/s; 135 kn; 249 km/h). The information, warning and planning were first class – you lot are just sooking there’s not a few hundred dead so you could get up the system about that. 2011 – CYCLONE YASI (Category 5) Cyclone Yasi crossed the Queensland coast at Mission Beach and Tully, south of Cairns. It is the worst cyclone to hit Australia since 1918, with 290 km/h winds. I reckon we put Spangled and John in charge of cyclone monitoring technology. Bottom: cyclone storm surge. “The past 100 to 150 years has been very quiet in Queensland in terms of what happened in the past. Tully is to the direct West of this, and Cardwell to the South. here’s the historical list of worst cyclones from http://www.australiangeographic.com.au/journal/timeline-australias-worst-cyclones.htm The closest to the eye of the cyclone is Lucinda Point just north of Ingham on the coast yet it’s record shows the highest wind gusts were 180km. As in gumshoe. here’s the abstract of the paper by Prof Nott to which the Oz article refers Actually, I’ve noticed the media being careful, mostly, to not try linking this event to AGW, even if they do hype it up a bit. The BoM and the Government are beating this up as much as they can for political reasons. Luke what kind of evidence is this: Surely even you are not so stupid as to think that Dear Anna [and I do like her] has been granted a new lease of life by Qld’s recent dramas and so the standard policy now is: lay it on as thick as you like because you can’t overdo it. The citizens of Townsville had been told that category five tropical cyclone Yasi was so vast a system it would take many hours for the worst of the wind and rain to pass. I notice the USN Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) have not run wind numbers as high as we have been hearing here. And having experienced 35 years of almost utopian existence, Qld is struggling to rise from the torpor. Here's a condensed version of the latest update from the BOM... At 4pm Cyclone Yasi was located 250 kilometres east of Cairns and 275 kilometres north northeast of Townsville. 2005 – CYCLONE INGRID (Category 4/5) [4] At least 75% of the banana crop was destroyed, and damage to the sugar cane farms is expected to cost about AU$500 million. good comment there lmwd! Seems to be some contention around that – it was certainly big, but was it as powerful? for wind speed enthusiasts there are calculations and also comments about wind speed in his preceding post Cyclone Yasi knocks out weather instruments on Willis Island The Lucinda observation station was 40-50kmkm from the eye-wall when the cyclone came ashore,losing intensity as it advanced over land. A pearling fleet-not that they exist nowadays-working in remote waters with a mothership would be equipped for weeks at sea,and would be moving large distances as a matter of course. I even drive in them. Extreme cyclones follow a predictable long-scale pattern this was not as bad as that which cyclone! 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